Forgot Login?   Sign up  

Trend Analysis

July presentation on Trend Analysis to Melbourne meeting.

2. Finding Trending Shares

To trend trade; we need to start by finding  shares that have an existing UP trend and cull out shares that have been either going sideways or going down.  We will look at how we define the long term up trends and how to scan the market for these shares.

1. Trend Trading General

A brief overview of the trend trading process; How we can expect trend trading to work and the sort of statistics we can expect.

Hands-on chart reading interpretation

How can we effectively use share price charts to analyse whether a stock should be bought or not? How can we interpret the price action? and the volume? and the various chart indicators that are available?

About 80% of ATAA members are trend traders* on ASX stocks.  In this session we will demonstrate the use of real price charts (using a laptop with no internet connection), and ask the audience to offer their thoughts, experiences and suggestions for:

  1. We want uptrending* stocks — so how do we find them?
  2. Which stocks to look at?
  3. Should we focus on specific sectors?
  4. Does it matter whether we look at large cap, medium cap or small cap stocks?
  5. Should we firstly look for a confirmed uptrend, and chart patterns?
  6. What is the best chart indicator to use? (with suggestions from the audience for their favourite indicator).
  7. What “set up” or “trigger” conditions might we look at for an entry?

In this session we will be sharing collective ideas and experiences so that experienced ATAA members can help to share their knowledge with the less experienced members and visitors and try to address the above questions.

* — We will focus on a short- to medium-term trend trading strategy idea, rather than a breakout strategy, or pattern strategy, etc.  This time frame is perfect for the busy investors/traders who only have a couple of hours each week to do their analysis and stock selection.

Trend Trading the ASX

Do you ask…Where do I start…or… why is it so hard to trade? You are probably attempting to trade too often, and too short term! The methodology of trading is easy; we make it harder than it has to be. Life is about balance, so is trading. Learn to create a simple, low risk method by employing the principle “Less is more”. Weekly trend trading systems are by far the easiest, most profitable and low stress way of trading the market. In Peters presentation tonight he will build with you, step by step, a weekly trading system, give you all the rules to it, including specific rules of Entry, Exiting, and more importantly numbers like winning percentage, draw down (pull back), expected losers and winners in a row. All the things you really need know BEFORE you start trading, including the 2 golden rules …… Having a Methodology and Sticking to it!

Trend Following Systems

Presentation abstract not available. (We need to prepare one from the actual document.)

Breakout Trading

Breakout trading is one of the most popular forms of short term trading in use around the world today…and that’s because it simply works. Breakout trading is momentum trading following a breakout from a point of agreement. A key feature of this style of trading is that breakouts can occur regardless of what the broad market is doing (rising, falling or even moving sideways) and therefore it will find traction in most market conditions. Alan will explain the key concepts behind breakout trading, describe each of the indicators he uses in detail and show back-testing results going back over five years. Finally, Alan will run through a mini breakout trading workshop to demonstrate the mechanics of this approach.

This presentation focuses on improving the fundamental based “Low-Risk-Approach” by using technical Trend-Following-Strategies. Stock with e.g. a low Beta are known to outperform in the long run the more volatile, high Beta Stocks, so, Low-Risk-Strategies are known to have higher risk adjusted returns. But applying a relevant timing strategy (i.e., a moving average or high momentum) will even more enhance the risk-adjusted return.
This presentation focuses on ETF-Sector-Rotation-Systems and will give examples of Dynamic-Asset-Allocation-Strategies by applying Trend Following Strategies in the process of portfolio optimization. A portfolio, constructed from trend filtered Sector ETFs, by also taking into account the overall trend of the benchmark, shows significant better risk measures, such as lesser drawdowns, higher return and lower volatility compared to the Benchmark.

Trend Trading that Works – Keep it Real

Trade what you see and not what you think. In this session you will learn a simple yet effective methodology to trade with the trend in Forex and Index Markets. This is real trend trading that works and follows the maxim that “less is more”.

Page 1 of 2