Nicholson, Colin

Colin has been investing his own money in Australian shares for over 45 years. He is one of the very few teachers of investing who publishes his investment return each year. Colin has taught both technical analysis and fundamental analysis for FINSIA, where he is a Senior Fellow. He wrote the subject notes for the two technical analysis subjects offered by Kaplan. Colin has been a highly rated speaker at many AIA and ATAA national conferences. He has written five books on investing and written for Shares magazine, Smart Investor magazine, The Australian Financial Review, BRW and now writes extensively in his free newsletter and on his website. Colin is an honorary life member and past national president of the ATAA.

Colin has long maintained that it is not possible to accurately and consistently predict the future. A better approach is to assess the condition of the market and to devise an appropriate strategy. In this talk, Colin will take you through his analysis of where we are in the bull market cycle. He will then suggest where we might be headed in 2015 and beyond and what his strategy is. No matter how sound our analysis, the key to investing in the stock market is to manage risk. This could be even more important than usual in the current increasingly uncertain world. Colin will outline the risk management strategies that he has successfully employed over 50 years of investing in the stock market.

No matter how sound our analysis, the key to investing in the stock market is to manage risk. This could be even more important than usual in the currently uncertain world. Colin will outline the risk management strategies that he has successfully employed over 50 years of investing in the stock market. He will illustrate his method with a current case.

Colin has long maintained that it is not possible to accurately and consistently predict the future. A better approach is to assess the condition of the market and to devise an appropriate strategy. In this talk, Colin will take you through his analysis of where we are in the bull market cycle. He will then suggest where we might be headed in 2015 and beyond and what his strategy is. No matter how sound our analysis, the key to investing in the stock market is to manage risk. This could be even more important than usual in the current increasingly uncertain world. Colin will outline the risk management strategies that he has successfully employed over 50 years of investing in the stock market.

Stocks have produced superior investment returns over the long term. However, not all stocks are equal. Some stocks outperform and others perform less well, or turn out to be dogs. From research of major world stock markets over the last century, five factors stand out as being the drivers of outperformance when building a portfolio of investment grade stocks. This has been largely hidden from private investors in difficult to grasp research papers. Colin will explain what the five key factors are in simple terms, after which you will know where to look for stocks likely to outperform. However, knowing what the five key factors are is only the first step. Colin will show how he goes about finding these stocks on the ASX, which has over 2,000 stocks to choose from. But that is not all: the potential for higher returns also often carries with it a higher level of risk. Colin will explain how to manage risk when investing in a portfolio of these stocks.

The best investors succeed because they seem to think counter-intuitively. They make better decisions by avoiding the common cognitive biases that are natural to us all, but which hold us back in our investing. Colin will discuss some of the ways we can make better investing decisions from his new book Think Like the Great Investors. He will focus on two of the chapters: (1) Seven investing sins that the great investors avoid. (2) Nine keys to investment success found in the great investors.

There is one problem in trading or investing that every market participant would like to have to deal with: a stock that rises without any significant pause, higher and higher after we buy it. Those who have limited experience will wonder why this could be a problem. However, experienced hands will recognise it as one of the biggest challenges they face and often struggle to know how to deal with it. Colin will explain why it is a problem. Then he will run through some of the ways in which a technical analyst might use their toolbox of techniques and indicators to help manage the situation successfully. This will include some discussion on risk/money management methods.

    Colin will range over some of the general lessons for investors from the last bear market as a preparation for how to be prepared for the next bear market, which will come with historical inevitability. In particular, Colin will show several examples of how it is possible not to be caught in stocks that "crash and burn" taking all of our savings with them.

    Colin will explore some of the ways that technical analysis can be used to set initial and trailing stops. This will be tied in to position sizing and diversification.

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