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Presentations & Documents - 2013
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Conference Presentations - Sydney, 21 to 23 June 2013
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Panel Discussion - Panel Discussion, 2013 Conference
Panel Discussion - Panel Discussion, 2013 Conference

Panel discussion with Jay Gragnani, Chris Weston, Rudi Filapeck-Vandyck and Manish Patel answering questions posed by the conference delegates.


130623_2013 Conference - Panel Discussion

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Panel Discussion - Follow My Trade
Panel Discussion - Follow My Trade

Follow a realistic trade as a panel of experts walk through the day-by-day decisions regarding trade entry, stop loss, position size, trailing stop, and eventual trade exit. Who will realise the most profit?


130623_2013 Conference - Panel, Trade

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Colin Nicholson - A Sharper Focus on Chart Patterns
Colin Nicholson - A Sharper Focus on Chart Patterns

Chart patterns are where charting began. Colin will suggest that they are often identified carelessly. He will propose a more disciplined approach to pattern identification that combines rigorous definition supported by an understanding of the behavioural explanation of how they are formed. After this talk you may never see chart patterns the same way again.


130623_2013 Conference - Nicholson, Colin

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Rudi Filapek-Vandyck - Where Fundamentals meet Technicals (and Vice Versa)
Rudi Filapek-Vandyck - Where Fundamentals meet Technicals (and Vice Versa)

Fundamental analysis and technical analysis are often seen as two opposites, though some investors use a bit of both. FNArena Editor Rudi Filapek-Vandyck likes to start his own analyses from a fundamental viewpoint, but he has observed some of his conclusions fall in line with what technical analysts see in their charts. So what’s happening? Is there more common ground between the two than is generally accepted? Rudi has also developed the concept of All-Weather Performers in the stock market. He will explain the concept and update on latest findings and observations.


130623_2013 Conference - Filapek-Vandyck, Rudi

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Adam Sorab - Technical Analysis - A global Perspective
Adam Sorab - Technical Analysis - A global Perspective

In this presentation, Adam Sorab will draw on his experience as a former President of IFTA and Chairman of the UK’s Society of Technical Analysts (STA) to provide an overview of the field of technical analysis around the world to identify areas of common interest and particular specialisations. He will also talk about the use of technical analysis at CQS, one of the largest hedge fund management companies in Europe where he is head of Technical Research and provide a summary of his technical analysis of global markets.


130623_2013 Conference - Sorab, Adam

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Nick Radge - A Profitable Strategy Designed to Capture Dividend Momentum
Nick Radge - A Profitable Strategy Designed to Capture Dividend Momentum

It’s a well-known fact that share prices tend to rise ahead of the ex-dividend date and dividend stripping as a strategy has been very popular. Unfortunately the demise of share prices during the GFC, and volatility since, have seen significant profits given back and the strategy is now less attractive. However, there is a safe way to pursue this momentum whilst practising prudent position management. In this session Nick Radge will fully disclose a systematic way to enter, exit and manage positions regardless of underlying market conditions.


130622_2013 Conference - Radge, Nick

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Peter Pontikis - Intermarket Technical Analysis, Dynamic Asset Allocation and Capital Management in an Aging Secular Bear Market
Peter Pontikis - Intermarket Technical Analysis, Dynamic Asset Allocation and Capital Management in an Aging Secular Bear Market

It is now well into the fifth year of the post GFC investing world, and the markets in the developed world remain challenged as ever as the “new normal” of a high A$, high credit costs and equity secular bear markets continue to crimp markets into a series of cyclical swings of bullish and bearish oscillations. No longer a world of buy and hold; the secular bear market demands a robust framework of dynamic asset allocation that combines awareness of trends in allied and leading markets, together with a disciplined focus on capital management.


130622_2013 Conference - Pontikis, Peter

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Brent Penfold - The Benefits of Mechanical Index Trading during both Bull and Bear Markets
Brent Penfold - The Benefits of Mechanical Index Trading during both Bull and Bear Markets

So what’s the outlook for the second half of 2013? Should traders be looking for buying or selling opportunities or should they stay-on, or move-to, the sidelines? Will the Euro survive and the European Union stay whole? Will North America deal with it’s deficit? Will China resume it’s trend growth? Will Japan finally hit the wall? In this presentation Brent will share with attendees the benefits of adopting a mechanical approach to index trading during both bull and bear markets. He will outline what worked for him and what didn’t when he began active index trading. Through his personal journey he will provide an understanding as to why he is a 100% mechanical trader and the benefits he derives from it.


130622_2013 Conference - Penfold, Brent

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Manish Patel - Ichimoku Charting Expert Usage
Manish Patel - Ichimoku Charting Expert Usage

In this session we will discuss the last two Ichimoku indicators:- the tenkan is used for short term support/ resistance, and the chikou is used to gauge the momentum of the trend. They will help eliminate some of the false kumo breakouts from the foundation strategy. We will also discuss fractal wave trading, and timeframe “matching”. Including examples of day trading timeframes and what timeframes they match on the higher timeframe, and analyzing various instruments (forex, global stocks [US, Australia, Singapore] Futures) on all timeframes.


130622_2013 Conference - Patel, Manish

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Michael McCarthy - Which is the Most Appropriate Indicator?
Michael McCarthy - Which is the Most Appropriate Indicator?

With a multitude of indicators and oscillators to work with, how can technical analysts decide which best suit their trading styles in different asset classes and changing market conditions? CMC’s Chief Market Strategist, Michael McCarthy, discusses the importance of “adaptive analyses” to incorporate evolving market conditions into a trading framework, and shines light on why the answer to this question is different for each analyst.


130622_2013 Conference - McCarthy, Michael

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Jay Gragnani - The S-Curve, Relative Strength, and Global Strategies
Jay Gragnani - The S-Curve, Relative Strength, and Global Strategies

The global investing landscape is changing faster than ever before, making a systematic and disciplined investment approach more necessary than ever. Everyone and everything is an S-Curve in life. Just as the seasons change from spring to summer to fall and then winter, the growth trajectory of a country, or a stock, can be plotted on an S-Curve. Combining the fundamental S-Curve factor with proven relative strength tools from Dorsey, Wright Associates (DWA), provides the framework for a global investment strategy. Jay will discuss the relative strength strategies that have led to the out-performance of the DWA Technical Leaders ETFs which now currently have over $1.4 billion in assets.


130622_2013 Conference - Gragnani, Jay

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Chris Weston - Global Currency Wars and the Impact on Australian Markets
Chris Weston - Global Currency Wars and the Impact on Australian Markets

In a world of ‘beggar thy neighbour’, the much-hyped unofficial race to debase is pushing not just currencies about, but is having a firm impact on other asset classes as well, with many global indices trading as a derivate of the forex market. In this presentation Chris Weston will examine how policy both on a fiscal, and subsequently a monetary, level is pushing flows around the forex markets, culminating in a weaker currency. Find out who has the most aggressive policy, how the market is currently set-up and how positioning may impact price action over the short to medium term. Ultimately, while longer-term forecasting is extremely unreliable, learn Chris’s thoughts on who could come out trumps in the so-called currency war.


130621_2013 Conference - Weston, Chris

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Manish Patel - Learn How to Read an Ichimoku Chart Within 3 Seconds
Manish Patel - Learn How to Read an Ichimoku Chart Within 3 Seconds

From the Japanese trading rooms to fast becoming the charting method of choice by professional traders and fund managers, the foundation of the Ichimoku indicator is based on the High/Low of a bar instead of closing prices. This reflects the support/resistance for a particular range in many time frames. This session includes: advantages of Ichimoku cloud charting in multi time frames, comparison of Ichimoku versus other indicators, and the difference between moving averages and the Ichimoku indicators including momentum. Also the Kumo Cloud breakout strategy with a trailing stop of the Kijun Sen indicator is a trend based strategy.


130621_2013 Conference - Patel, Manish

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Sinan Koray - Discretion: The Silent Killer of Your Profits and Capital
Sinan Koray - Discretion: The Silent Killer of Your Profits and Capital

Is the person looking after your money biased, opinionated, emotionally driven, discretionary and unpredictable? Most of the trading and investing decisions in the stock and the derivatives markets are emotion based. Discretion cleverly veils the underlying fear and greed. Yet in trading and investing, those who use systems, who replicate templates and working models, make money consistently. Sinan will take you through the contrast between emotion-driven trading/investing and systematic trading/investing. You will walk away with tools that help you to recognise and repair areas of your trading/investing that will bring you bigger successes and higher profits.


130621_2013 Conference - Koray, Sinan

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Jay Gragnani - Understanding Point & Figure Charts to Identify Opportunities
Jay Gragnani - Understanding Point & Figure Charts to Identify Opportunities

Borrowing the phrase from American baseball legend Yogi Berra, ‘You can observe a lot just by watching’. Dorsey, Wright & Associates extensive Point & Figure database allows us to efficiently observe important asset class, sector and individual stock trends across the globe. Learn how to read Point & Figure charts, create relative strength relationships, and construct portfolio strategies to identify strength and weakness in the global markets. Understanding these powerful tools will transform the way you think about the markets and elevate the way you invest.


130621_2013 Conference - Gragnani, Jay

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Alexander Elder - Five Key Tools of a Pro Trader
Alexander Elder - Five Key Tools of a Pro Trader

Learn how to strip market trends and trading ranges down to their bare essentials. View Dr Elder’s favourite trading patterns. See how to combine market analysis with money management to control risk and boost performance. Master the simple but essential art of record-keeping: trading without a diary is like shaving without a mirror. This will be a practical class: Dr Elder will walk you through his diaries of several recent trades and show how to plan for the week ahead. You’ll leave this class with an improved grasp of trading.


130621_2013 Conference - Elder, Alexander

Chapter Presentations from 2013
Document Resources from 2013
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Robert Grigg - Quantitative Trading What Why How
Robert Grigg - Quantitative Trading What Why How

Quantitative methods used to construct trading systems use good technical analysis principles along with computers, computational processes, probability theory and statistics to develop and test trading systems before real money is risked. They then monitor the ‘health’ of a system during use so it can be ‘tuned’ to the market over time. The ‘scientific method’ is adopted and applied. Systems designed with this approach are likely to be more successful. The principles discussed will help every trader. If you wish to make use of quantitative methods this will be a good introduction.


Quantitative Trading What Why How - Robert Grigg

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Robert Grigg - Trading In an SMSF
Robert Grigg - Trading In an SMSF

Robert and Nina have managed an SMSF for 20 years. This presentation will cover the journey; including managing the SMSF frameworks, the personal biases, learnings along the way and our current trading approaches. His talk will basically be about how to keep it simple, profitable and compliant.


Trading In an SMSF - Robert Grigg