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Presentations & Documents - 2018
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Conference Presentations - Melbourne, 18 to 20 May 2018
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Dan Gramza - Exploit Opportunities in the Stock, Options and Futures Market
Dan Gramza - Exploit Opportunities in the Stock, Options and Futures Market

Take your trading strategy to the next level. Discover new trading strategies and gain insights into the markets with the power of Behavioral Japanese candle charting. Dan shares his proprietary approach to what he refers to as Behavioral Japanese candle trading techniques. His simplified approach will provide clarity to how you look at the markets. Drawing on over 30 years of trading experience Dan will apply these concepts real time and identify trading opportunities to current markets selected by the audience. Whether you're new to trading or are an experienced trader, Dan's exclusive presentation will provide you with new tools to identify trading opportunities.


180518_2018 Conference - Gramza, Dan

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Stephen Harvey - The Changing Risk Landscape of Technical Analysis
Stephen Harvey - The Changing Risk Landscape of Technical Analysis

New Market Wizards; Old Market Gods


During this conversation I will review the current landscape of Technical Analysis and consider what it is that binds our discipline together. I will consider a mixture of some of the more common trading risks discussed in the literature and those that are equally common - but rarely discussed. Consideration will also be given to emergent risks. For each risk identified, effective mitigation strategies will be outlined.


In keeping with the Conference's emphasis on the practical application of knowledge a specific tool and methodology for the management of any risk will be provided. The presentation will be sufficiently grounded in the evidence to enable attendees to separate the facts about risks from the hype and the headlines.


180518_2018 Conference - Harvey, Stephen

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Kevin Saunders - Trading Models Are Wrong, But That's OK
Kevin Saunders - Trading Models Are Wrong, But That's OK

Trading models are never perfect. Sometimes they will be wrong. It is impossible to predict all market outcomes because the real world is nuanced. Models are invaluable, however, because unlike the complex world, models are predictable. So why not trade the model, instead of the market? Kevin will speak about building portfolios of robust trading logic and working with weaknesses inherent in trading systems. It is all about taming the beast via system portfolio management.


180518_2018 Conference - Saunders, Kevin

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Tony Sycamore - Understanding Intermarket Relationships
Tony Sycamore - Understanding Intermarket Relationships
  • Introduction to Intermarket Relationships
  • The key market relationships
  • The Intermarket environment today
  • Risk Aversion/Risk Taking or "RORO"
  • How interest rate movements influence currencies
  • How currency moves can influence stock markets.


Intermarket analysis has been used by bank and hedge fund traders for many years. However outside of those circles it remains largely unknown. This is a unique opportunity for private traders to learn about how seemingly unrelated markets are in fact linked and how bank and hedge fund traders apply intermarket analysis.


An understanding of intermarket relationship's will help provide better insights into market movements and in turn support better trading outcomes.


180518_2018 Conference - Sycamore, Tony

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Bruce Vanstone - Cross Sectional and Time Series Momentum
Bruce Vanstone - Cross Sectional and Time Series Momentum

Much of Bruce's work over the years has been focused on both the cross-sectional and time-series momentum anomalies. In his presentation, Bruce will explain the momentum approach, the techniques and potential pitfalls in momentum investment, and the academic and statistical evidence supporting it. Bruce will also show some of his latest research on momentum, including new ranking metrics, and the application of momentum to ETFs.


180518_2018 Conference - Vanstone, Bruce

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Dan Gramza - Trading in The Eye of the Storm
Dan Gramza - Trading in The Eye of the Storm

Trade with confidence and focus, and overcome the storms of emotional traps and negative thought pitfalls that prevent you from consistently implementing your trading strategy. This intensive talk provides you with the information and tools necessary to build a strong trading mental skill set, and shows you how to remain in the present trading moment and emotionally neutral while your trading strategy and the market do the work. Dan will show you how the synchronization of mind, body and spirit, so critical to effective practice of any martial art can help you remain mentally alert, yet relaxed and physically prepared to tackle any market challenge.


180519_2018 Conference - Gramza, Dan

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Kris Longmore - Time is Money: Fast, Robust Feedback on Trading Ideas
Kris Longmore - Time is Money: Fast, Robust Feedback on Trading Ideas

Researching and developing systematic trading strategies is difficult and time-consuming. There exists a vast universe of possible approaches to the markets, and traders can spend significant amounts of time performing research that yields little of value. While the chronic rejection of one's ideas is a way of life for trading systems researchers (only a small percentage of ideas ever see production), a principled, objective approach to early idea evaluation ensures that time and effort is reserved for ideas most likely to yield performance trading strategies.


Here we present a quantitative work-flow for fast, informative and robust feedback on early-stage trading ideas. The work-flow interfaces seamlessly with several data sources (local and remote), leverages modern high-performance computing techniques, and provides objective, quantitative feedback using sound statistical analysis. Best of all, the work-flow's infrastructure is built on free and open source software, and it can be used to evaluate any trading strategy whose signals can be computed prior to its simulation, making it particularly relevant to TA-based trading strategies.


180519_2018 Conference - Longmore, Kris

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Alan Oliver - Time - The Forgotten Dimension
Alan Oliver - Time - The Forgotten Dimension

Trading has many methods available, and each trader will take on a method or system that appeals to their preferred outcome. W.D.Gann created his own methods and tools; some of these have been very hot topics amongst traders. Gann focussed on Time as his most important trading technique, and in doing so created several Time factors that he used to remarkable effect. We will look at his Time factors, showing traders incredible numbers working on each and every segment of the market. These factors have been very hard to learn but when put into simple terms on current charts these techniques reveal outstanding opportunities well before the rest of the trading public realises a reversal is in play.


180519_2018 Conference - Oliver, Alan

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Brent Penfold - Back to the Future for Practical Trading in Ever Changing Markets
Brent Penfold - Back to the Future for Practical Trading in Ever Changing Markets

Never before has uncertainty dominated the markets like it has today. Traders have never had so many big questions to answer. Will the Euro hold together? Will the USA get a handle on its debt and deficit? Will China return to trend growth? Will Japan reverse its demographic decline? Will central banks reduce their balance sheets? With so many unanswered questions and so much uncertainty is it no wonder that so many traders in so many markets are looking for practical ways to profit in ever changing markets? Yet despite global anxiety and confusion there is a core body of trading knowledge within the markets that can provide a level of certainty. Certainty that traders can use to rebuild their confidence and begin to trade again with purpose and profit. Knowledge that experienced traders know and inexperienced traders don't.


Brent will be sharing a common overlooked strategy that works as well today as it did when it was first discovered. This presentation will be a walk down memory lane to remind attendees that the more markets change the more they stay the same.


180519_2018 Conference - Penfold, Brent

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Linda Raschke - Modeling Price Structure and Modeling Strategies
Linda Raschke - Modeling Price Structure and Modeling Strategies

Linda will share insights and tips from 3 decades of research and modeling. She will discuss how she developed and uses a quantifiable approach for price structure as well as different questions to ask when modeling. She will then take this a step further and discuss how to develop strategies to take advantage of certain price structures, the importance of recognizing state changes, and markers that can indicate arbitrage opportunities. This is meant to be practical with interesting conceptual angles of value to those who do not do backtesting and modeling work!


180519_2018 Conference - Raschke, Linda

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Cameron Mitchell - Twelve Steps to Trading Success
Cameron Mitchell - Twelve Steps to Trading Success

Simple Geometry & Psychology in The Financial Markets


The presentation will cover the following areas:


  • Three simple techniques that will dramatically increase your win / loss ratio
  • How you can use these techniques on any financial market and any time frame (Weekly, Daily, Intraday)
  • How to use simple geometry to maximise profits and pin point your entry
  • How to eliminate that feeling of dread in your stomach when placing a trade
  • How to develop your own non-emotional pre-trade routine. I will show you how I trade LIVE
  • Why back testing is so important and how to do it properly
  • How to use simple stop loss and profit targets and WHY to use them
  • How Wall Street Traders use Time and Price to determine the safest entry point
  • How to model the psychology of a professional athlete.


180520_2018 Conference - Mitchell, Cameron

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Linda Raschke - Trading Process
Linda Raschke - Trading Process

Trading process includes everything from initial homework and preparation, mental state, execution and trade management and a host of other factors so important to developing consistency and minimizing unforced errors while trading. Linda will go through what her trading process is for both discretionary and systematic trading, helpful tips about avoiding common mistakes, eliminating distractions and staying confident yet flexible. Any approach must be simple and streamlined and balanced! Traders fail not from lack of knowledge but from holes in their process!


180520_2018 Conference - Raschke, Linda

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Andrew Swanscott - An Algorithmic Approach to Cryptocurrencies
Andrew Swanscott - An Algorithmic Approach to Cryptocurrencies

With the rise of cryptocurrency prices and the introduction of Bitcoin Futures, there's a lot of buzz about bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, however opinions are divided on the legitimacy and future of these newer markets. Are cryptocurrencies just a fad or are they here to stay, and if they are here to stay, how can we leverage them as traders? In this presentation, we'll take a brief look at the history of bitcoin, the advantages and challenges, plus we'll analyse key market characteristics to discover potential opportunities for algorithmic trading approaches.


180520_2018 Conference - Swanscott, Andrew

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Panel Discussion - Dan Gramza, Linda Raschke, Cameron Mitchell, Kris Longmore & Kevin Saunders
Panel Discussion - Dan Gramza, Linda Raschke, Cameron Mitchell, Kris Longmore & Kevin Saunders

Ask the Experts - Dan Gramza, Linda Raschke, Cameron Mitchell, Kris Longmore and Kevin Saunders discuss questions posed from the audience.


180520_2018 Conference - Panel

SMSF Seminar Presentations - Melbourne 17 November 2018
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Grant Abbott - The Top Five SMSF Strategies
Grant Abbott - The Top Five SMSF Strategies

Family SMSFs are the new breed for the educated investor committed to long term, low taxed wealth. Hear from Grant Abbott, on the greatest and latest SMSF strategies and why anyone investing without a SMSF or more importantly a Family SMSF is failing to create a dynasty or leave their legacy.


181117_SMSF Seminar - Abbott, Grant

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John MacLeod - My Super Fund is my Friend
John MacLeod - My Super Fund is my Friend

John MacLeod will present "My Superfund is My Friend". Since converting his superannuation over to a SMSF in 2004, John has gone on a journey and made his SMSF part of his everyday life, always seeking to explore, learn and improve his investing strategies. Today's story is about this journey including the thrills, the spills and the enjoyment along the way.


181117_SMSF Seminar - MacLeod, John

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Darryl Nagel - Trading Through an SMSF - Basics and Cool Strategies
Darryl Nagel - Trading Through an SMSF - Basics and Cool Strategies

Darryl Nagel will present "Trading through a SMSF - the basics and some cool strategies." He will examine what documentation you need to trade through an SMSF to remain compliant. We will look at recent changes in the law impacting upon SMSFs. He will show how he traded CBA shares and, call and put options, through his SMSF using a Limited Recourse Borrowing Facility using a Related Party Loan, as a potential worthwhile strategy.


181117_SMSF Seminar - Nagel, Darryl

Chapter Presentations from 2018
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29 November - Remote Chapter Online / Darryl Nagel
29 November - Remote Chapter Online / Darryl Nagel

Speaker: Darryl Nagel

Topic: How to Profit in a Falling Market

Darryl will discuss this topic from the perspective of both a trader and an investor.


181129_Remote - Nagel, Darryl

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25 October - Remote Chapter Online / Jefferson Arcos
25 October - Remote Chapter Online / Jefferson Arcos

Speaker: Jefferson Arcos

Topic: Trading Strategy - Weekly Candle Close


181025_Remote - Arcos, Jefferson

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11 October - Melbourne Chapter Meeting / Davin Clarke
11 October - Melbourne Chapter Meeting / Davin Clarke

Speaker: Davin Clarke

Topic: Strategies for Creating a Consistent Market Edge

The experience of being on both sides of the fence has given me a unique insight into what differentiates successful traders from the crowd. A winning edge does not have to be substantial to generate a profitable trading business. This is not just true in trading. Take professional tennis. From 1991-2016 the average amount of points won in a season for the No. 1 player in the world is just 55%.Tennis like trading is not a game of precision, it is a game of percentages.

 

In this presentation we will look at strategies that help us in achieving long term trading success.


181011_Melbourne - Clarke, Davin

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27 September - Remote Chapter Online / Bruce Wood
27 September - Remote Chapter Online / Bruce Wood

Speaker: Bruce Wood

Topic: Heikin-Ashi Candles, A Different Approach to Candlesticks

Heikin-Ashi Candlesticks look just like normal Japanese Candlesticks, so why are they different?


In the 1700?s when Munehisa Homma developed Heikin-Ashi Candlesticks, what were his objectives in designing a modified version of candlesticks?


Some traders (and in particular FX traders) claim that Heikin-Ashi Candlesticks are a very powerful tool towards identifying the direction of the trend.


In this presentation we will look at how Heikin-Ashi candlesticks are constructed, and why they offer a very different approach to normal Candlesticks, towards making your trading decisions?


180927_Remote - Wood, Bruce

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30 August - Remote Chapter Online / Darryl Nagel
30 August - Remote Chapter Online / Darryl Nagel

Speaker: Darryl Nagel

Topic: Profitably Trading Bitcoin using TA Sensibly

Bitcoin will be the focus of this presentation but the analysis of trading Bitcoin applies to other cryptocurrencies. The Blockchain phenomenon will be discussed in the context of cryptocurrencies. Additionally, the twin worlds of Bitcoin will be discussed looking at the advantages and disadvantages of trading within each of these worlds. Darryl will show how he intends to trade Bitcoin using two technical analysis techniques that he likes to use with his own trading.


180830_Remote - Nagel, Darryl

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18 August - Quant SIG Meeting / Alan Clement
18 August - Quant SIG Meeting / Alan Clement

Speaker: Alan Clement

Topic: Introduction to the Melbourne Quant Traders Special Interest Group

Who are the Melbourne Quant group? What do they do together? Why might you like to join? The Melbourne Quant SIG has been going for 10 years and meets every month to discuss and apply quantitative trading methods. Join Alan as he outlines the groups purpose and ethos. He will also demonstrate some of the groups collaborative output. If you're at all interested in learning or using a more quantitative approach, this could well be for you.


180818_Quant SIG - Clement, Alan

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28 June - Remote Chapter Online / Jonathon Smadja
28 June - Remote Chapter Online / Jonathon Smadja

Speaker: Jonathon Smadja

Topic: Ichimoku with a Twist

The Ichimoku Cloud, also known as Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, translates into 'one' look equilibrium chart? It was created in the late '60s, by a Japanese journalist (not an economist or a trader). It is becoming very fashionable amongst Western traders, although it has been popular in Japan for quite a long time. The main advantage of this system is that it provides everything a technical analyst needs to analyse an asset and trade it, so it could potentially be the only tool one uses. Unfortunately, the way most people use it is completely wrong and misleading, and that is why it is still not as popular as it should be. In this presentation I will try to convince you that Ichimoku is probably one of the most effective systems at your disposal for analysing trend and trading.


180628_Remote - Smadja, Jonathon

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18 June - Melbourne Chapter Meeting / Mark Bennell
18 June - Melbourne Chapter Meeting / Mark Bennell

Speaker: Mark Bennell

Topic: How to Avoid 70% of Failed Breakouts

How to avoid 70% of failed breakouts

  • What is a failed breakout
  • What usually causes a failed breakout
  • What to look for prior to the breakout
  • How to identify accumulation or distribution
  • What are the best types of breakouts?

180618_Melbourne - Bennell, Mark

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2 June - Sydney Chapter Meeting / Peter Aubourg
2 June - Sydney Chapter Meeting / Peter Aubourg

Speaker: Peter Aubourg

Topic: Finding Trending Shares


180602_Sydney - Aubourg, Peter

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31 May - Remote Chapter Online / Justine Pollard
31 May - Remote Chapter Online / Justine Pollard

Speaker: Justine Pollard

Topic: Adventurers of a Trader (2018 Version)

In this webinar presentation Justine will showcase exactly what she does during her trading time each day. Including how she runs a daily market scan, reviews the shares in the report and selects a trade based on her trading rules. Then, she will show how she position sizes the trade according to her risk strategy and places the trade in the market with a stop loss linked to it. She will also tackle other trading actions she takes, whether acting on an aggressive exit or adjusting her stop losses each day. All in a day of a trader plus more adventures.


180531_Remote - Pollard, Justine

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10 May - Melbourne Chapter Meeting / Phil Ruthven
10 May - Melbourne Chapter Meeting / Phil Ruthven

Speaker: Phil Ruthven

Topic: The Economy & Investment Scene, 2018 and Beyond

The World is a strange place these days, with a lot of incompetent leadership and a resurgence of autocracy in some nations. The East has now overtaken the West in GDP, China has overtaken the USA, India has overtaken Japan, and Indonesia has overtaken Brazil, the UK and France. P/E ratios are extraordinarily high as much due to record low interest rates but now risky with rising interest rates.


Phil will present a lucid picture of where we are at, forecast where he sees us going and how he sees the performance of the investment asset classes over the next few years and the decade we are in. Phil Ruthven is the Founder of IBISWorld, an international corporation providing online business information, forecasting and strategic services to the corporate, government and academic sectors.


180510_Melbourne - Ruthven, Phil

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26 March - Holy Grail Trader SIG / Darryl Nagel
26 March - Holy Grail Trader SIG / Darryl Nagel

Speaker: Darryl Nagel

Topic: March Webinar, 26 Mar 2018


180326_HGT SIG - Nagel, Darryl

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22 March - Remote Chapter Online / Alan Clement
22 March - Remote Chapter Online / Alan Clement

Speaker: Alan Clement

Topic: Trading System Design: A Practical Guide

What makes a good trading system? How do we know if one entry or exit is better than another? How do we come up with a trading system that suits our personality and lifestyle, and meets our trading objectives? 


In this practical guide to trading system development, Alan will outline the process of investigating, testing and quantifying trading ideas - as well as pointing out some of the pitfalls typically made along the way. He will demonstrate the role skill and luck play in trading, and will show why some entries and exits work better than others. He'll also discuss why just getting the market direction right is not enough to make consistent gains over the long run. The presentation rounds off with a demonstration of designing a fully-fledged trading system with real edge in the market. If you want to find out how your current system stacks up, or are on the lookout for a better system, Alan will highlight the steps to take and show some of the tools available to you.


180322_Remote - Clement, Alan

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26 February - Holy Grail Trader SIG / Darryl Nagel
26 February - Holy Grail Trader SIG / Darryl Nagel

Speaker: Darryl Nagel

Topic: February Webinar, 26 Feb 2018


180226_HGT SIG - Nagel, Darryl

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25 January - Remote Chapter Online / Grant Abbott
25 January - Remote Chapter Online / Grant Abbott

Speaker: Grant Abbott

Topic: SMSF Q and A

Presentation by Grant Abbott, SMSF Q & A.


180125_Remote - Abbott, Grant

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18 January - Sydney TA Chat SIG / Bruce Wood
18 January - Sydney TA Chat SIG / Bruce Wood

Speaker: Bruce Wood

Topic: The Bondi Rotational Trading System Portfolio Case Study

The Sydney TA Chat Special Interest Group have worked on developing a Trading Plan Case Study, using a Rotational Trading System. This Case Study involved developing a set of trading rules we would use to see if we could trade successfully, and beat the market? (This is a "Virtual Portfolio", so our trades are on a notional basis, as this Case Study is for educational purposes).


This Case Study is now in its 21st week, and the results have been sensational.


In this presentation, we will review the Trading Plan and our trading performance metrics behind our completed trades.


180118_TA SIG - Wood, Bruce

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15 January - Melb Quant Traders SIG / Alan Clement
15 January - Melb Quant Traders SIG / Alan Clement

Speaker: Alan Clement

Topic: QTG Mean Reversion System Review

The Melbourne Quantitative Traders Group (MEL SIG QTG) developed a Mean Reversion System as a participative exercise during 2017. The review documents the project as it stands looking at its various components.


180115_Quant SIG - Clement, Alan

Document Resources from 2018
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Tyrone Abela - Building a robust trade plan for trend trading strategies
Tyrone Abela - Building a robust trade plan for trend trading strategies

Trend trading is an important skillset required by most traders to successfully trade the markets, but many traders sometimes find it difficult to not only identify when the market is trending, but also when a good opportunity presents itself to join the trend.

This session will focus on building a robust trade plan using different components of technical analysis to assess the quality of trade entries and the prospects of its success in trending markets.


Building a robust trade plan for trend trading strategies - Tyrone Abela