Speaker: Mathew Verdouw

Topic: Using Volatility to Determine the Trend of Securities and Markets

We often think about volatility in terms of risk. High volatility is synonymous with risky investments. But what if we were able to use volatility as a trend indicator? Given that each security has it’s own levels of volatility, we’d have a metric which auto-tunes to the security we are analysing.

In this presentation, Mathew will explain how we can use volatility to identify changes in trend—based on a 1990’s technique—and how that can be used to produce some unique breadth measures. He’ll finish up with a full quantitative analysis of the techniques.

201024_2020 Conference - Verdouw, Mathew

Speaker: Mathew Verdouw

Topic: Optex Bands Pre-Recorded Presentation

201024_2020 Conference - Verdouw, Mathew (Optex)

Speaker: Larry Williams

Topic: What makes for World Champion Traders?

201024_2020 Conference - Williams, Larry

Speaker: Van Tharp

Topic: System Thinking: The Holy Grail to dealing with a Pandemic or any other crisis

The markets are a process not a think. When you turn it into a thing and give it characteristics and represent it a certain way, you need to realize that that representation is made up. It’ represents your beliefs. Thus, you must trade useful beliefs – meaning that have value (i.e., make you money) in a wide context and will work for a lot of people. And here its important to know that beliefs are not true, but we can call them facts if they work in a wide enough context.

​

There are multiple factors that influence the outcome of a trade. And this is what systems thinking it about – it’s not just your trading system, but there are also about 15 total systems that we’ve identified that could impact your trading.

​

And the fact that the most important system in this pandemic is the You factor. If you understand how to master that factor, then you have a good chance of doing a lot more than surviving.

201024_2020 Conference - Tharp, Van

Speaker: Hiwon Yoon

Topic: Shall we focus on Bitcoin in an Uncertain and Unstable World Environment?

The COVID-19 and the US-China trade war have put the global economy in a turmoil. 

The Major Central banks are printing moneys as a measure to control the turmoil.

Under such circumstances, it is natural for gold to attract attention, but how about cryptocurrencies?

I share the review of Bitcoin market in past, and would show the future view of Bitcoin toward to the next year by the image processing technology as AI.

201024_2020 Conference - Yoon, Hiwon

Speaker: Linda Raschke

Topic: A Treasury of Wall Street Wisdom: The Wisdom of past Master Market Technicians applied to the future.

201024_2020 Conference - Raschke, Linda

Speaker: Ron William

Topic: Do market’s face a potential “Minsky” moment collapse?

If so, then what is likely the crisis-opportunity ahead and what are the best strategies for optimizing risk?

Ron William will outline a behavioural technical analysis framework, as highlighted by a late-cycle rare exhaustion pattern on the S&P500.

This follows warning shot overbought reactions, after multiple “irrational exuberance” greed sentiment readings in August. Most notable was overcrowding of large tech equity positions in the options market, with the put-to-call ratio hitting multi-year extremes, based on linear extrapolations of the “V” shape recovery and omnipotent Fed Put.

Ron will also discuss timing models, which predicted the recent shake-out in late August-early September and signal further asymmetric into this negative seasonality period, weighed by larger cycle forces such as the decennial pattern and USA presidential elections.

201024_2020 Conference - William, Ron

Speaker: Bruce Vanstone

Topic: Momentum Investment using ETFs

An overview of using momentum for investment: how it works, why it works, and the spectrum of expected returns. The presentation will focus on using ETFs to build momentum portfolios, focusing on strategies available to the retail investor.

201024_2020 Conference - Vanstone, Bruce

Speaker: Koki Nozawa

Topic: Time-series analysis of Japanese mutual fund performance: Considerations on asset flow and return

After a series of institutional reforms to promote “a flow from savings to investments,” Japanese mutual funds have come under the spotlight as a potentially useful way to build assets in Japanʼs aging society. This paper, therefore, looks at the main trends in the Japanese open-end fund market over the past 20 years and then uses time-series analysis focusing on asset flow and return to analyze Japanese open-end funds overall and by product category. Net asset value (NAV) was broken down into net asset value per share (NAVPS) and unit number, and the relation between changing rates of NAVPS and those of unit number was examined. The results show a correlation with a time lag in some categories (e.g., unit number for the current month tends to rise when the previous monthʼs NAVPS has risen).

201024_2020 Conference - Nozawa, Koki

Speaker: Jean-Francoi Owczarczak

Topic: The Power of Cross Asset confirmations

Cross asset confirmations are like a jigsaw puzzle. All pieces need to fit together. Yet, these are a moving targets and the process needs regular monitoring. The cross asset environment it delivers and the divergences it highlights are so many confirmations that we believe widely improve Investment and Trading decisions.

In this presentation, we will explain the basic tenets of our proprietary MJT oscillator methodology (www.mjtsa.com). It aims to capture the cyclical rhythm of any instrument over any frequency to identify current, and anticipate future, market inflection points (for example, intermediate or important tops or bottoms, as well as Buy the Dips or Sell the rebounds opportunities). It is this prospective timing we use to coordinate the cross asset environment we expect over the next few quarters, months or weeks. We will show how we first perform top-down Intermarket Analysis on key drivers (such as main equity indexes, main currencies, main benchmark bond yields, gold, copper, oil and related ratios), and then confirm our conclusions bottom up with the use of Cyclical Analogs. We will then show how we map out our whole investment universe vs this cross asset framework. We will conclude the presentation using our FinGraphs.com retail trend analysis platform, where users can upload market mosaics comprising up to 16 streaming graphs from all asset classes, for intraday and intrahour cross asset monitoring.

201024_2020 Conference - Owczarczak, Jean-François

Speaker: Yoan Zhang

Topic: Sequence of volume spread analysis: A bar counting method of potential reversal

Current VSA method still relate to the principles of : price & volume, cause & effect, effort & result. Developed on Wyckoff’s work, supply & demand finally drive the market with any reasons include fundamental, technical and other signals. Classical technical analysis does not explain enough the relation between volume and bar direction, which is important part of behavior finance. We try to figure out the balance between supply and demand in order to track the move of smart money. Different from TD sequential, the volume sequence based on the relative change of bar spread and volume. Most reversals always come up with exhaustion of previous trend, volume will never lie as it is an unique true information from the market, how it confirm exhaustion? We will talk about a basic setup and bar counting method in this issue.

201024_2020 Conference - Zhang, Yoan

Speaker: Rüdiger Born

Topic: Elliott Waves: Bringing the Theory into the Daily Trading

Many chart technicians gave up learning and applying the Elliott Waves as too many ways of counting drove the trader mad and the accounts to zero. However, the few who continue fighting through the theory often suffer while applying and giving up finally.

Thus, the Elliott Waves often have a reputation – at best – of being a nice theory but not applicable for successful trading. That is sad as this technique gives so much more than just the next market direction. The Elliott Waves also provide some valuable ideas about the probabilities what is happening next and thus a good base for calculating the risks.

201024_2020 Conference - Born, Rüdiger

Speaker: Daryl Guppy

Topic: Trade what you see, not what you believe

Market performance has been the exact opposite of what the economic fundamentals suggest should be the case. The highest unemployment since the Depression along with a massive COVID infection rate and lockdowns has created the fastest market recovery every seen. How do we trade or invest in this environment? What analysis methods worked, and which methods failed? What did we really learn about the relationship between analysis and trading?

Guppy will examine methods that survived the COVID disruption and those which may protect against snapback conditions as markets and economic move back into sync.

201024_2020 Conference - Guppy, Daryl

Speaker: John Bollinger

Topic: Active versus Passive Investing

John Bollinger, CFA, CMT, will presents on active versus passive indexing titled - Indexing for Technicians: Or how I stopped worrying and learned to love indexing. Indexing is a form of technical analysis.

201024_2020 Conference - Bollinger, John

Speaker: Tim McCullough

Topic: Back-Testing Relative Performance and Evaluating Technical versus Macroeconomic and Corporate Research

Bloomberg has long offered back-testing of trading strategies based on technical indicators (both mainstream and customized), complete with optimization to find the best settings. Bloomberg now extends this into two key areas:

• Back-test technical trading strategies in relative terms, e.g. pairs trading or relative to an index or portfolio (benchmark & customized). Buy-side users can now quantify optimum trading strategies relative to actual portfolios, while sell-side users can offer recommendations which are carefully tailored to their clients’ investment parameters.
• Back-test trading strategies using Bloomberg’s vast library of global economic and corporate data. The value of macroeconomic research can finally be compared directly with technical analysis. Back-test equity brokers’ analyst recommendations, together with the impact of corporate activity (e.g. stock-splits or dividends), all on both an individual and relative basis.

This presentation demonstrates how Bloomberg technical analysis meets the practical needs of modern trading and investment, with direct comparison with macroeconomic research, analyst recommendations and corporate activity.

201024_2020 Conference - McCullough, Tim

Speaker: Dr. Gregor Bauer

Topic: Successfully trading Options in volatile markets

In his presentation Dr. Gregor Bauer will in short explain the Basics of Options-Trading. He will especially focus on how the implied volatility influences option-pricing. He will give examples of how to avoid common pitfalls when trading bottom and top reversals by applying Long Call- and Long Put- Strategies.

201024_2020 Conference - Bauer, Gregor

Speaker: Wieland Arlt

Topic: How to Catch the Big Swings with One Simple Strategy

Wieland Arlt focuses on three criteria for his trading setups: a high probability of occurrence, a long way to the targeted goal and a clear message if the market has changed its mind. These criteria are combined in the expander strategy presented.

Learn why this one simple strategy is suitable for all market phases, get in touch with the ingredients of this strategy and get to know how you can implement that strategy into your trading no matter if you are trading intraday or in the long term.

201024_2020 Conference - Arlt, Wieland

Speaker: Stefano Gianti

Topic: Spot market trends with Heikin Ashi

It’s not necessarily rocket science to analyze markets and predict future prices. Did you know Heikin Ashi? These candles are an excellent tool helping investors to try to capture price reversals and reveal the strength of the current trend. The purpose of this presentation will be to deepen your knowledge and provide useful advice on your interpretation. Agenda:

• Definition of Heikin Ashi
• Standard version vs Smoothed
• Multi-timeframe approach

201024_2020 Conference - Gianti, Stefano

Speaker: Thierry Bechu

Topic: The end of alpha – Risk Factors Theory revisited

Risk premia and Style Factors theory have been very popular during these recent years with a lot of business implications in the asset management business.

What are the key issues ? One of the first objective of factors principles was to save CAPM and Efficient Market Hypothesis theories via a significant improvement. The second objective was to undermine the protagonists of alpha. The idea that one can  any portfolio performance with an exposure to specific betas (value, size, quality or whatever…) was potentially the end of alpha… It was meaning for instance that Technical Analysis was definitely useless!

Hopefully, we will see that in reality, some factors commonly used in the industry such as momentum or Low Volatility are curiously not taken up by the Fama & French model. And for good reasons: these factors based on behavioral biases completely contradict the conclusions of CAPM theory and render it obsolete.

Thus, we’ll conclude that the factors theory reinforces the behaviourist principles, justifying the use of techniques to benefit from them. It strengthens the use of Technical analysis while financial theory needs to reinvent itself in order to retain some credibility.

201024_2020 Conference - Bechu, Thierry

Speaker: Raul Andreas Glavan

Topic: Building a money printing machine with AI

201024_2020 Conference - Glavan, Raul Andreas

Speaker: Gema Goeyardi

Topic: How to profit $30,000 from Gold trading with Sun Capricorn Cycle and 1.618 Divergence Fibonacci

Gold Trading offers huge profits in a very short period of time. The secret to secure the profits consistently by finding a vibration of the price characteristic. In 2010 I found a very significant planetary cycle correlation that gives a 90% consistent trend direction projection of Gold. By combining this planetary cycle and technical analysis, we have proven that made USD30,000 a year is not a big deal. I have made more than USD5,000,000 profits from USD2,000 capital between 2012 and 2020 with this planetary cycle, and today I will share it with you.

201024_2020 Conference - Goeyardi, Gema

Speaker: Panel Discussion

Topic: Smart trading with technical analysis

Power Hour Team by AATI – 2020 IFTA Conference 

1. Muhammad Alfatih: “Tweaking Indicators: to enhance its performance”
2. Soeratman Doerachman: “The Musketeers Meet Samurai:Combining easy western and eastern indicators”
3. Linda Lee: “Intraday Technique: Price Cluster Analysis”
4. Hendra Martono Liem: “Multiple Time Frame Trend and Volume Analysis”
5. Angelo Michel & Aria Santoso:“Market Volume Analysis to Locate Demand Power & Selling Pressure”
6. Indrawijaya Rangkuti: “Market Mood: Place & Time Synchronized”

201024_2020 Conference - Panel Discussion

Speaker: Roman Bogomazov

Topic: Incorporating Wyckoff Method Analysis into Portfolio Construction

In this presentation, Roman will show how to incorporate Wyckoff Method analysis into building your portfolio. He will explain his approach to Price Structural Analysis and the specific Wyckoff patterns he looks for. Then he will discuss how to add Supply/Demand relationships to the selection process. Finally, Roman will demonstrate how he assesses the potential “character of the next move.” This presentation will feature many illustrative examples of Price Structural and Tape Reading techniques.

201024_2020 Conference - Bogomazov, Roman

Speaker: Roland Jegen

Topic: Better investing using market effects

Financial markets show reoccurring patterns. Numerous scientific studies prove the existence of these market effects, which are used by professional investors to achieve above-average returns. In this presentation we will focus on 4 different strategies based on reoccurring market effects. We will show you how you can increase your returns particularly easily with these market effects.

You can take advantage of these market effects too.

Especially investors not wanting to spend a lot of time managing their investments should follow this presentation. Using market effects is not only cost effective but also time-efficient.

201024_2020 Conference - Jegen, Roland

Speaker: Kei Nakagawa

Topic: How to Build Investment Strategies with AI and Machine Learning

Recent advances in AI and machine learning are finding practical applications across many industries, not least the finance industry. In particular, research into the use of AI and machine learning as a new tool for stock investment has been very active. 

I’ll show how AI and machine learning can be applied to the problem of discovering and implementing stock investment strategies.

As an example, I’ll introduce an example of developing machine learning based forecasting methods while focusing on the perspective of price fluctuation patterns, which is the philosophy of technical analysis.

201024_2020 Conference - Nakagawa, Kei

Speaker: Mike Smith

Topic: Avoid the 5 common Trading plan errors that can impact on your results

Your trading plan is THE critical system that you must work on and has the aim of guiding trader action in the heat of market decision making. Errors in trading plan content and construction can impact on consistency and the ability to ascertain what plan components are working for you or otherwise. Join Mike Smith of GO Markets for this innovative session that aims to give you:

• A review of the key purpose and function of trading plans and why they are crucial to traders of all instruments.
• Absolute clarity about what these 5 errors are and the potential impact on results if not addressed.
• Practical trading plan statement examples of how to take your trading plan to the next level.

201212_Newcastle - Smith, Mike

Speaker: Bruce Wood

Topic: Sydney TA Chat Special Interest Group

MEETING AGENDA:

9.45 – 10.00 am     Webinar will open

10.00 -10.15 am     Welcome and announcements – Bruce Wood

10.15 – 10.45 am    Major Market overview – Mary McNamara.

10.45 -11.25 am     Two of my current trades – FX Pairs or commodities James Ings

                    Pete’s Share Picking Competition – Peter Aubourg

11.25 – 12.00 pm   Ticker Talk (Chart analysis)

12.00 pm            Closing comments.

201203_TASIG - Wood, Bruce

Speaker: Meeting Participants

Meeting Agenda:

The Melbourne Quantitative Traders Group (MEL SIG QTG) meets monthly to discuss quantitative system development. In 2020-2021 the SIG is reviewing Howard Bandy's Quantitative Trading Systems book at the pace of a chapter a month, usually followed by chart/coding discussions - this month is chapter 8.

201116_Quant SIG

Speaker: Karen Wong

Topic: Most Tipped Small Caps of 2020: How it Started, How it's Going

In January 2020, 10 stocks were voted as the small caps most likely to do well this year. Technical analysis gives us the advantage to sort the potential winners from the potential losers. Using the Guppy Multiple Moving Averages we identify the stocks looking good at the beginning of the year and now as we approach the end of the year, we highlight the stocks still continuing to trend.

201116_Sydney - Wong, Karen

Speaker: David Villagra

Topic: Understanding Liquidity Gaps

Price spikes offer a unique opportunity for experienced traders with an in-depth understanding of how to take advantage of market volatility, however many novice traders remain unaware of the risk involved. During this session David will help you understand how you can exploit price inefficiencies after a spike occurs in order to identify low-risk entries and better align your setups with market direction.

David will cover the origin and anatomy of a price spike and how to use them to your advantage

• The risks involved when trading highly volatile price spikes

• Exploiting price inefficiencies after a spike occurs and using them to your advantage

• Probabilities of gaps being filled and how to align your trade setups with the most likely direction afterward

Improve your trading strategy and learn how to become a successful FX and CFD trader.

201116_Sydney - Villagra, David

Speaker: Stuart McPhee

Topic: Tips & tricks on how to get the most out of MetaStock

Stuart has used MetaStock continuously since 1999 and in this session, he will share some of his tips and tricks on how to get the most out of the software. This will include items that many MetaStock users are unaware of, and will hopefully enhance the MetaStock experience for all attendees.

201110_MetaStock SIG - McPhee, Stuart

Speaker: Bruce Wood

Topic: Sydney TA Chat Special Interest Group

MEETING AGENDA:

9.45 – 10.00 am Webinar will open

10.00 -10.15 am Welcome and announcements – Bruce Wood

10.15 – 10.45 am Major Market overview – Mary McNamara.

10.45 -11.25 am Two of my current trades – FX Pairs or commodities James Ings

                    Pete’s Share Picking Competition – Peter Aubourg

11.25 – 12.00 pm Ticker Talk (Chart analysis)

12.00 pm Closing comments.

201106_TASIG - Wood, Bruce

Speaker: Meeting Participants

Meeting Agenda:

The Melbourne Quantitative Traders Group (MEL SIG QTG) meets monthly to discuss quantitative system development. In 2020 the SIG is reviewing Howard Bandy's Quantitative Trading Systems book at the pace of a chapter a month, usually followed by chart/coding discussions.  

Agenda Items: 

Chairman: Alan Clement

• General Announcements
• Round the table: Updates, findings, interesting topics, areas of research, trading ideas, personal achievements, or questions for the group
• Quantitative Trading Systems book (Chapter 7: Exits)
• Amibroker Tips & Tricks (Demonstrations supporting Bandy Book Topics)
• Presentation: Chris Meakin - Preparing for a Bear Market
• Item offers and requests for next month

201026_Quant SIG

Speaker: Karen Wong

Topic: Profit Taking Without Regret

Profit maximisation is the key to every trader’s happiness. Through actual trade examples we will look at ways of planning for profit by letting profit run for longer, protecting our profit as it grows and locking in a profit using the concepts of timeframe, targets and trailing stops.

201019_Sydney - Wong, Karen

Speaker: David Villagra

Topic: My Favorite Pattern to Trade and Why

An understanding of price action enables us to analyse markets in real time as price moves. In this session David will show us some of his favourite price action structures and patterns he personally uses for his own trading in the FX markets to achieve a higher rate of probability and success. These price action behaviours are commonly found in all tradeable markets. 

201019_Sydney - Villagra, David

Speaker: Justine Pollard

Topic: How I Traded Through the COVID-19 Pandemic

Justine Pollard is a technical trader who has developed her own personal systems to trade through all market conditions. Having traded the markets for nearly three decades, she has been through both bull and bear markets experiencing key events such as the World Trade Centre crash, the GFC and now the COVID-19 pandemic. 

This presentation will explain how her trading experience set her up to handle the dramatic volatility created during the COVID-19 downturn by taking advantage of short selling opportunities and how she rebuilt her long-term portfolio after the majority of her exits were hit in late February.

Justine has presented at ATAA meetings and conferences and one of her most popular presentations, Adventures of a Trader, is available in the Contribution Library on the ATAA website.

201013_Brisbane - Pollard, Justine

Speaker: Gary Stone

Topic: Investing in US shares from Australia

Off-shore investing in the US is becoming more and more mainstream for Australian investors with more local brokers offering platforms and many US domiciled brokers commission-free. There are so many big-named US stocks that it is easy to get star-struck and stunned into inaction, not knowing where to start. Many of the US mid-cap stocks and even the odd small-cap have larger market caps than stocks in the bottom end of the ASX100 index. Then there are the logistics of choosing a broker, tax, overcoming the time differences. And this is before you get to your investment strategy and analysis!

In this session Gary will cover all this and more, including the large-cap investment strategy that he uses to manage risk and outperform the S&P500 Total Return index.

201008_Melbourne - Stone, Gary

Speaker: Gary Burton

Topic: Using MetaStock for Haguro Method

Based on a weekly basis, the Haguro Method provides a great way to analyse instruments on a longer-term basis. This makes it great for longer term positions in a retirement account, or for setting an outlook if you are a short-term trader.

The Haguro candlestick pattern is simply a way to identify support and resistance levels, but with a different approach. Furthermore, contrary to the general opinion of plotting horizontal support and resistance levels at closing or high/low price levels, the Haguro method focuses on the candle’s range, thus making the mid-points of the weekly candlestick as the support and resistance method.

You can use the Haguro Method with MetaStock to scan for instruments that have crossed through their midpoint or are currently showing a reversal bar. The commentary in MetaStock does a great job in showing you the lines on a chart and explaining them to you every week.

201006_MetaStock SIG - Burton, Gary

Speaker: Bruce Wood

Topic: Sydney TA Chat Special Interest Group

Sydney TA Chat Special Interest Group Meeting Objectives 

This will be a workshop based meeting, and our SIG has the following objectives:

• The interactive sharing of ideas.
• To encourage dialogue between members
• Inclusive of all present.
• Offering a member focused agenda.
• We want our meetings to have a relaxed and informal atmosphere.

MEETING AGENDA:

9.45 – 10.00 am Webinar will open

10.00 -10.15 am Welcome and announcements – Bruce Wood

10.15 – 10.45 am Major Market overview – Mary McNamara.

10.45 -11.25 am Two of my current trades – FX Pairs or commodities James Ings

                    Pete’s Share Picking Competition – Peter Aubourg

11.25 – 12.00 pm Ticker Talk (Chart analysis)

12.00 pm Closing comments.

201001_TASIG - Wood, Bruce

Speaker: Meeting Participants

Meeting Agenda:

The Melbourne Quantitative Traders Group (MEL SIG QTG) meets monthly to discuss quantitative system development. In 2020 the SIG is reviewing Howard Bandy's Quantitative Trading Systems book at the pace of a chapter a month, usually followed by chart/coding discussions.  

200928_Quant SIG

Speaker: Karen Wong

Topic: Inside and Outside Bars

These short-term signals are commonly used in identifying trend reversals, trend weakness and trend continuation. Discover where to find these patterns on a chart using the optimal timeframe. Whether you trade stocks, FX or any other market use them to complement your trading.

200921_Sydney - Wong, Karen

Speaker: Peter Castle

Topic: Changing Strategy in a Changing Market

Markets change and when they do our trading strategies often have to change and adapt. 2020 has been a challenging trading year for many of us. In this session Peter will share his experience of the market this year and his new short-term trading strategy for trading the current market. 

200921_Sydney - Castle, Peter

Speaker: Alan Clement

Topic: Global Markets Quarterly Technical Outlook Q3 CY2020

As we head towards the last quarter of 2020, and with a US Presidential Election looming, what pointers can we look towards to gauge the future direction of the markets? Join Alan for his ever-popular quarterly market update, where he will pick apart the events of the last few months and determine the levels and patterns to look for. Using a variety of technical tools and chart types, he will delve into momentum, support, resistance, sentiment and market breadth to analyse local and overseas stock markets, currencies and commodities. Don't miss this valuable presentation which could act as a useful input to developing your own market road map for the coming weeks and months ahead.

200910_Melbourne - Clement, Alan

Speaker: Justine Pollard

Topic: Handling Market Volatility

The markets are unpredictable, and anything can happen anytime. There are periods when the markets are more volatile than other times, such as during reporting season which can be planned for, but not all market events can be planned for. As a trader you need to have a market exposure strategy in your trading plan that will provide you with guidance around how you will trade during different market trends and periods of volatility.

In this presentation Justine will share with you her market exposure guidelines and how she handles different market situations. It takes time to build experience in the market and it's not until you have traded through all the market trends that you can be confident in your strategy. Your plan will evolve as you grow as a trader and experience all the possibilities that can be thrown at you in the markets.

Justine is a technical trader that has developed her own personal trading systems to trade through all market conditions. She has been trading the markets now for nearly three decades and has been through many bull and bear markets over this time and experienced key historical market events, such as the World Trade Centre Crash, GFC and now the pandemic.

200910_Melbourne - Pollard, Justine

Speaker: Justine Pollard

Topic: Using MetaStock to Scan, Analyse and Manage Trade

Justine is a technical trader that has been using MetaStock since 1999. She has developed her own personal trading systems that she uses to scan the market and manage her exits with a trailing stop loss indicator. MetaStock created an expert advisor based around her Smart Weekly Long Trading System and you will see this in the Expert Advisor list labelled as “ Pollard-Smart Weekly Long System”.

Justine has a non complicated approach to trading and believes in keeping it simple. In this presentation  will showcase how she uses MetaStock in her everyday trading and what her favorite features of the program are.

200909_MetaStock SIG - Pollard, Justine

Speaker: Bruce Wood

Topic: Sydney TA Chat Special Interest Group

This will be a workshop based meeting, and our SIG has the following objectives:

• The interactive sharing of ideas.
• To encourage dialogue between members
• Inclusive of all present.
• Offering a member focused agenda.
• We want our meetings to have a relaxed and informal atmosphere.

MEETING AGENDA:

9.45 – 10.00 am                     Webinar will open

10.00 -10.15 am                     Welcome and announcements – Bruce Wood 

10.15 – 10.45 am                   Major Market overview – Mary McNamara.

10.45 -11.25 am                     Two of my current trades – FX Pairs or commodities James Ings

                                               Pete’s Share Picking Competition – Peter Aubourg

11.25 – 12.00 pm                   Ticker Talk (Chart analysis)

12.00 pm                                Closing comments.

200905_TASIG - Wood, Bruce

Speaker: Meeting Participants

Meeting Agenda:

The Melbourne Quantitative Traders Group (MEL SIG QTG) meets monthly to discuss quantitative system development. In 2020 the SIG is reviewing Howard Bandy's Quantitative Trading Systems book at the pace of a chapter a month, usually followed by chart/coding discussions.  

200824_Quant SIG

Topic: MetaStock Formula Writing 101

The agenda for the initial meeting will follow the following guidelines:

• Discussion of Jeff Gibby webinar MetaStock Formula Writing 101 (Note: see link below for the video to watch before watching the meeting recording)
• Please view this video in preparation for watching the MetaStock User meeting recording: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cO59IBq0lhE&feature=youtu.be
• Review of:
• Creating basic formulas
• Prefilter Explorations
• Using Variables
• Practical Work Flows for MetaStock
• General discussion
• Your turn

If time permits, a presentation of a new addition to MetaStock 17 - QuoteCentre

200819_MetaStock SIG

Speaker: Peter Aubourg

Topic: Inside Indicators 2.0 - Stochastic, Williams %R and Ichimoku

Presentation by Peter Aubourg and Darryl Nagel

This month we look at the Stochastic Oscillator, then we will scratch the Ichimoku and have a quick detour to the Williams % R along the way. All these indicators have one thing in common; they are fenced in by the highs and lows. They can never escape! They are range based indicators.  A stochastic process is one which combines predictable actions and a random element. That sounds just like trading!  

The construction of the Ichimoku is examined by Peter and then an overview of the trading process is presented by Darryl.

200817_Sydney - Aubourg, Peter

Speaker: David Villagra

Topic: An Introduction to Price Action

In this session David Villagra defines price action for us, discussing its advantages over technical indicators. David will share with us his preferred price action strategies he uses in FX trading which are also applicable to stock trading. Find out if price action works in all markets. 

200817_Sydney - Villagra, David

Speaker: Stuart McPhee

Topic: Navigating through 2020 and Beyond

In this presentation, Stuart will review what has worked in 2020 and disclose some of the TA tools that he uses to gauge the market and help with his decision making.

200813_Melbourne - McPhee, Stuart

Speaker: Kalvert Clark

Topic: Gann Mass Pressure Charts

Gann made his annual forecasts months before the beginning of each year. How did Gann do this? Kalvert will explore Gann’s method and the subtleties involved. It will be in-depth, so the allotted time will be busy.

200813_Melbourne - Clark, Kalvert

Speaker: Nick Radge

Topic: Systematic Momentum Investing on the ASX

Momentum is a logical, time tested approach supported by vast amounts of academic and industry research gathered over many decades.

Stocks that have done well recently tend to continue doing well in the following months and even years.

This is known as 'price persistence' and can be found in individual stocks, commodities, foreign exchange and indices. This unique style of investing allows investors to build wealth, navigate changing markets, avoid sustained bearish periods and meet lifelong investment goals.

Nick will discuss how to build a systematic strategy to successfully capture price momentum in the Australian market.

200808_Brisbane - Radge, Nick

Speaker: Sunil Mangwani

Topic: Can You make a Living by Trading the Markets

Using Fibonacci ratios in the correct way, including the secret Fibonacci ratio that the Institutionals use as a trap.

Trading with technical analysis is an effective way to trade the financial markets, but most traders look for the perfect trading system while ignoring the basic concepts behind price movement.

Where does a trend start, when might it end, and what are the factors that drive movement?

Take a walk along the practical side in this webinar & look behind the charts to understand these concepts.

Then, take it to the next level to understand the correct way to use the Fibonacci ratios. While the Fibonacci ratios are a highly effective tool in technical analysis, the fact is most traders tend to use them incorrectly. It’s like using a hammer for a job that requires a screwdriver, which would result in an undesirable outcome.

And finally, learn about one ‘secret’ Fibonacci ratio and how the Institutes use this as a trap level.

Whether you are a new trader just starting your journey or an experienced trader who has gone through the grind, this webinar will open your eyes to an entirely new concept. 

200804_Newcastle - Mangwani, Sunil

Speaker: Bruce Wood

Topic: Sydney TA Chat Special Interest Group

MEETING AGENDA:

9.45 – 10.00 am                     Webinar will open

10.00 -10.15 am                     Welcome and announcements – Bruce Wood

10.15 – 10.45 am                   Major Market overview – Mary McNamara.

10.45 -11.25 am                     Two of my current trades – FX Pairs or commodities James Ings

                                               Pete’s Share Picking Competition – Peter Aubourg

11.25 – 12.00 pm                   Ticker Talk (Chart analysis)

12.00 pm                                Closing comments.

200801_TASIG - Wood, Bruce

Speaker: Alan Clement

Topic: Trading System Design: A Practical Guide

What makes a good trading system? How do we know if one entry or exit is better than another? How do we come up with a trading system that suits our personality and lifestyle, and meets our trading objectives? In this practical guide to trading system development, Alan will outline the process of investigating, testing and quantifying trading ideas - as well as pointing out some of the pitfalls typically made along the way. He will demonstrate the role skill and luck play in trading, and will show why some entries and exits work better than others. He'll also discuss why just getting the market direction right is not enough to make consistent gains over the long run. The presentation rounds off with a demonstration of designing a fully fledged trading system with real edge in the market. If you want to find out how your current system stacks up, or are on the lookout for a better system, Alan will highlight the steps to take and show some of the tools available to you.

200730_Remote - Clement, Alan

Speaker: Meeting Participants

Meeting Agenda:

The Melbourne Quantitative Traders Group (MEL SIG QTG) meets monthly to discuss quantitative system development. In 2020 the SIG is reviewing Howard Bandy's Quantitative Trading Systems book at the pace of a chapter a month, usually followed by chart/coding discussions.  

200727_Quant SIG

Speakers: Karen Wong & Daryl Guppy

Topic: AVERAGE DAILY RANGE GUIDE TO FX – Karen Wong

The Average Daily Range (ADR) provides guidance to FX traders in determining high probable target profits. Learn how to use the ADR for a clearer idea of possible currency price movements.

Topic: POSITIONING IN THE MARKETS BEFORE AND AFTER THE COVID-19 CRASH and Q & A with Daryl Guppy 

In this session Daryl Guppy will share with us how he managed to close most of his positions before the Covid crash, where the markets are today and his strategies going forward into the future.

200720_Sydney - Guppy, Daryl

Topic: MetaStock User Group Monthly Discussion - July 2020

The agenda for the initial meeting will follow the following guidelines:

• Introduction and welcome
• How I use MetaStock for trading
• Addressing members requests for assistance with coding
• Links to resources
• Suggestions

200715_MetaStock SIG

Speaker: Stephen Mayne

Topic: Share Capital Raisings and the Retail Investor

Amidst a GFC-style deluge of capital raisings since March this year, it is time to have a look at the system and performance of companies which raised equity from shareholders during the COVID-19 pandemic. Having participated in more than 320 retail capital raisings since 2009 and argued the case for reform consistently over the past decade, Stephen Mayne will explore the capital raising system, how it works for retail investors, the different types of offers that are made and whether there are any lessons or opportunities for technical traders before and after capital raisings are launched.

200709_Melbourne - Mayne, Stephen

Speaker: Bruce Wood

Topic: Sydney TA Chat Special Interest Group

MEETING AGENDA:

9.45 – 10.00 am Webinar will open

10.00 -10.15 am Welcome and announcements – Bruce Wood

10.15 – 10.45 am Major Market overview – Mary McNamara.

10.45 -11.15 am Two of my current trades – FX Pairs or commodities James Ings

                     Pete’s Share Picking Competition – Peter Aubourg

11.15 – 12.00 pm Ticker Talk (Chart analysis)

12.00 pm Closing comments.

200704_TASIG - Wood, Bruce

Speaker: Tim Young

Topic: Indicator Study in 40 Minutes - Bollinger Bands Pt 2

The second Volatility indicator we will look at is Bollinger Bands. To do justice to this indicator, we need to cover a couple of statistical terms and this will form part1; next week part 2 will study the application of the Bollinger Bands on price charts.

Developed by John Bollinger, Bollinger Bands® are volatility bands placed above and below a moving average. Volatility is based on the standard deviation, which changes as volatility increases and decreases. The bands automatically widen when volatility increases and contract when volatility decreases. (www.stockcharts.com).

Presentation points:

- Distribution of prices versus returns;

- The standard deviation formula;

- Calculation of the standard deviation of stock prices in Excel.

200624_Remote - Young, Timothy

Speaker: Meeting Participants

Meeting Agenda:

The Melbourne Quantitative Traders Group (MEL SIG QTG) meets monthly to discuss quantitative system development. In 2020 the SIG is reviewing Howard Bandy's Quantitative Trading Systems book at the pace of a chapter a month, usually followed by chart/coding discussions. This month is chapter 4.

200622_Quant SIG

Speaker: Tim Young

Topic: Indicator Study in 40 Minutes - Bollinger Bands Pt 1

The second Volatility indicator we will look at is Bollinger Bands. To do justice to this indicator, we need to cover a couple of statistical terms and this will form part1; next week part 2 will study the application of the Bollinger Bands on price charts.

Developed by John Bollinger, Bollinger Bands® are volatility bands placed above and below a moving average. Volatility is based on the standard deviation, which changes as volatility increases and decreases. The bands automatically widen when volatility increases and contract when volatility decreases. (www.stockcharts.com).

Presentation points:

- Distribution of prices versus returns;

- The standard deviation formula;

- Calculation of the standard deviation of stock prices in Excel.

200617_Remote - Young, Timothy

Speakers: Peter Aubourg

Topic: Inside Indicators 2.0 : Relative Strength Index (RSI)

This indicator is one of the “chunk and lump” style of indicators. ( A specialty of its inventor Welles Wilder). The UP moves and the DOWN moves are chunked out of the data and then lumped together to create the relative strength. A versatile indicator. It can be used in the short term to measure the strength and decisiveness of a move, to gauge “over bought” or “over sold”. In the longer term it can be used to measure the strength of a trend. It is an indicator useful for both mean revert trading and trend trading.

200615_Sydney - Aubourg, Peter

Speakers: Karen Wong

Topic: The Buy Zone

World markets have seen many stocks rebound from the lows of earlier this year to rally up strongly. Whether fully invested in the market or trading with caution we want to know about the stocks on the move upwards. Applying a Double Bollinger Band strategy to the charts we discover some stocks sitting in the buy zone. Applicable to any market we will also look at how it can equally work on an FX chart. 

200615_Sydney - Wong, Karen

Speaker: Ivan Krastins

Topic: Has the DNA of markets changed...40 years later?

The DNA of Markets? A very interesting question. Dictionary.com gives an alternative definition of DNA as – ‘the set of nongenetic traits, qualities, or features that characterize a person or thing: Humility is just not in her DNA’.

In this presentation, Ivan will use the following points to show us how we can deal with the DNA of the markets:

o DNA - What is it and how it can help with your decision-making?;

o The Language of the Market - insights into how traders feel;

o A novel way of viewing your trading results - pros and cons;

o Proof of Concept approach to designing your RBT (Rule-Based Trading) concept;

o Various Campaign Management ideas;

o Trading the Equity Curve.

200613_Brisbane - Krastins, Ivan

Speaker: Tim Young

Topic: Indicator Study in 40 Minutes - Volatility - Average True Range (ATR)

The next price action component to study is Volatility and will be covered by two indicators: Average True Range (ATR) and Bollinger Bands. Volatility can be considered an important topic and according to the writings of one commentator - 'A firm understanding of the concept of volatility and how it is determined, is essential to successful investing'*. (* Boyte-White,C.,What Is the Best Measure of Stock Price Volatility?, www.Investopedia.com, 2020).

Presentation points:

- Understanding the formula for the Average True Range (ATR);

- Excel examples of the ATR calculation using price data;

- Review of a selection of price charts and the ATR indicator.

200610_Remote - Young, Timothy

Speaker: Bruce Wood

Topic: Sydney TA Chat Special Interest Group

MEETING AGENDA:

9.45 – 10.00 am Webinar will open

10.00 -10.15 am Welcome and announcements – Bruce Wood

10.15 – 10.45 am Major Market overview – Mary McNamara.

10.45 -11.15 am Two of my current trades – FX Pairs or commodities

                  James Ings

                                  Pete’s Share Picking Competition – Peter Aubourg

11.15 – 12.00 pm Ticker Talk (Chart analysis)

12.00 pm Closing comments.

200606_TASIG - Wood, Bruce

Speaker: Tim Young

Topic: Indicator Study in 40 Minutes - Volatility - Price

The next price action component to study is Volatility and will be covered by two indicators: Average True Range (ATR) and Bollinger Bands. Before analysing these indicators, an overview of volatility should be useful; according to the writings of one commentator - 'A firm understanding of the concept of volatility and how it is determined, is essential to successful investing'*. (* Boyte-White,C.,What Is the Best Measure of Stock Price Volatility?,www.Investopedia.com, 2020).

Presentation points:

- What is volatility?;

- A look at ‘live’ volatility on an option trading platform where it is a tool-of-the-trade;

- What volatility looks like on price charts.

200603_Remote - Young, Timothy

Speaker: Mary McNamara

Topic: Overview of the ADX momentum indicator

In this presentation Mary will give an overview of the ADX momentum indicator and offer an example of how this might be useful to use in conjunction with any Volume studies when traders carry out their own technical analysis.

200528_Remote - McNamara, Mary

Speaker: Tim Young

Topic: Indicator Study in 40 Minutes - Stochastic Oscillator

One of the main goals of every trader using technical analysis is to measure the strength of an asset's momentum and the likelihood it will continue. Momentum measures how fast a security's price is moving, and there are a variety of indicators we can look at to measure this.

This study will look at the our final Momentum indicator - the Stochastic Oscillator:

- How an oscillator works;

- The formula for the Stochastic;

- Excel analysis.

200527_Remote - Young, Timothy

Speaker: Darryl Nagel

Topic: The relationship between Fibonacci, WD Gann, Elliott Wave, Heikin Ashi candles, Ichimoku and how to trade this relationship. 

In this presentation we will examine not only the theory but also the application of the theory. The technical analysis approaches that we will examine were devised at a time when there were no computers. The authors of each approach did not liaise with each other and yet they came to the same very powerful technical analysis concept of which we as traders can take advantage.

200521_Perth - Nagel, Darryl

Speaker: Tim Young

Topic: Indicator Study in 40 Minutes - Momentum - MACD-RSI

One of the main goals of every trader using technical analysis is to measure the strength of an asset's momentum and the likelihood it will continue. Momentum measures how fast a security's price is moving, and there are a variety of indicators we can look at to measure this.

This study will look at the two more Momentum indicators:

- Moving Average Convergence Divergence - MACD;

- A recap of the Exponential Moving Average - EMA;

- Relative Strength Index (RSI).

200520_Remote - Young, Timothy

Speaker: Meeting Participants

Meeting Agenda:

The Melbourne Quantitative Traders Group (MEL SIG QTG) meets monthly to discuss quantitative system development. In 2020 the SIG is reviewing Howard Bandy's Quantitative Trading Systems book at the pace of a chapter a month, usually followed by chart/coding discussions. This month is chapter 3.

200518_Quant SIG

Speaker: Peter Aubourg

Topic: Inside Indicators 2.0 : MACD

Indicators are used throughout technical trading as components of trading systems. Each meeting, a selected indicator will be dismantled, serviced, adjusted and rebuilt. We will look at what it is trying to do, how it works and how can we use it in our trading.

This month we will do a quick overview of the MACD indicator.

200518_Sydney - Aubourg, Peter

Speaker: Karen Wong

Topic: Capital Raisings

Since the COVID-19 pandemic began to rise we have seen a huge increase in the number of companies requiring an injection of funds through capital raisings. Inevitably the price of a stock is affected in many ways. We will look at how a trade can be affected by the capital raising process and one extra piece of information to use in our trading decisions.

200518_Sydney - Wong, Karen

Speaker: Alan Hull

Topic: Trading in 2020... A change of tactics

Markets are constantly changing and 2020 is an extreme example. Traders must always be prepared to change their tactics in order to deal with whatever the markets throw at them. Alan will show you what tactics were working in 2019 and how they have failed in 2020. Then he'll show you his strategy for dealing with COVID-19 and how he is preparing for what lies beyond.

200514_Melbourne - Hull, Alan

Speaker: Tim Young

Topic: Indicator Study in 40 Minutes - Momentum - ROC

One of the main goals of every trader using technical analysis is to measure the strength of an asset's momentum and the likelihood that it will continue. Momentum measures the speed at which the price of a security is moving, and there are a variety of indicators we can look at to measure this.

This study will look at:

- Leon Wilson’s 4 components of price action;

- A couple of articles on the topic of momentum;

- The mathematical formula for the indicator called Momentum;

- Divergence derivation;

- Excel calculations and chart examples.

200513_Remote - Young, Timothy

Speaker: Bobbey Pawagi

Topic: Day Trading the SPI Futures

Bobbey will speak about his day trading system for entering and exiting trades using a morning price range.

200509_Brisbane - Pawagi, Bobbey

Speaker: Gary Burton

Topic: Market-Outlook

Considering the market volatility over the past 6 weeks, we'll be interested to hear what Gary's has to say about the outlook for the financial markets over the coming months, and his thoughts about the question on everyone's lips - are we in a bull or a bear market? He will highlight some of the chart patterns we should look for and will conclude by discussing his involvement with the Reuters report.

200509_Brisbane - Burton, Gary

Speaker: Bruce Wood

Topic: Sydney TA Chat Special Interest Group

MEETING AGENDA:

9.45 – 10.00 am Webinar will open

10.00 -10.15 am Welcome and announcements – Bruce Wood

10.15 – 10.45 am Major Market overview – Mary McNamara.

10.45 -11.15 am Two of my current trades – FX Pairs or commodities

                    James Ings

                                    Pete’s Share Picking Competition – Peter Aubourg

11.15 – 12.00 pm Ticker Talk (Chart analysis)

12.00 pm Closing comments.

200502_TASIG - Wood, Bruce

Speaker: Richard Lie

Topic: Demonstration of the “Trend Intensity Rating” system

This one-hour online session is primarily intended to provide Victorian ATAA members with a substitute for our monthly face-to-face meeting. However, it will be open to all financial ATAA members around Australia, and it will be recorded and subsequently made available to members via the ATAA website Contribution Library. This session will feature the guest speaker presentation, and we won't be able to have any of the normal member 'networking' in this session. We are working on organising that for another session.

200430_Melbourne - Lie, Richard

Speaker: Alan Clement

Topic: The Magic of Dual Momentum Investing

Market momentum is a powerful ally and being able to measure and rank it will tend to keep you on the right side of the market. Alan will demonstrate some methodologies you can employ to filter stocks you may want to buy or sell in your portfolio. He will also demonstrate why market momentum persists and why owning the highest momentum opportunities can deliver superior returns. He will also discuss ways you can manage downside risk in your portfolio, in particular for when markets turn more volatile.

200423_Remote - Clement, Alan

Speaker: Peter Aubourg

Topic: Inside Indicators 2.0: Overview and Open High Low Close

This month we will do a quick overview of all the indicators to be investigated and see how they fit into groupings with similar styles.

Yes O,H,L,C is an indicator! It summarizes a vast amount of data as a means to extract some sort of readable information out of the market noise. This month we will look at this most basic of indicators in detail.

200420_Sydney - Aubourg, Peter (OHLC)

Speaker: Peter Aubourg

Topic: Inside Indicators 2.0 : Moving Averages

Indicators are used thought technical trading as components of trading systems. Each meeting a selected indicator will be dismantled, services, adjusted and rebuilt. We will look at what it is trying to do, how it works and how can we our it in our trading.

This month we look at moving averages. They are one of the most useful indicators in technical analysis. They are the basis of a string of indicators and to it is useful to know how they work.

200420_Sydney - Aubourg, Peter (MA)

Speaker: Alan Clement

Topic: Using Intermarket Analysis to Manage Market Risk

Many different financial markets and sectors are either correlated, inversely correlated, or interdependent in some way. In this presentation, Alan looks at which of these tend to be leading indicators, and how we can quantify and utilise these relationships to our advantage in determining when risk in the stock market is high or low. Those inputs can then be used to determine how much of our capital we should deploy in stocks, and when it may be necessary to reduce risk exposure. Alan will draw on his experience in the trading business as an active trader and quant analyst to demonstrate the best and most useful intermarket relationships that he has uncovered and uses. The talk will include some key takeaways that you can use to experiment with in your own trading environment.

200420_Quant SIG - Clement, Alan

Speaker: Bruce Wood

Topic: Sydney TA Chat Special Interest Group

MEETING AGENDA:

9.45 – 10.00 am                     Webinar will open

10.00 -10.15 am                     Welcome and announcements – Bruce Wood

10.00 – 10.45 am                   Major Market overview – Mary McNamara.

10.45 -11.15 am                     Two of my current trades – FX Pairs or commodities

                        James Ings

                        Pete’s Share Picking Competition – Peter Aubourg

11.15 – 12.00 pm                   Ticker Talk (Chart analysis)

12.00 pm                 Closing comments.

200404_TASIG - Wood, Bruce

Speaker: Grant Abbott

Topic: Getting your Investment Strategy right

SMSF Investment Strategies are so hot right now and for all the wrong reasons. When the Commissioner of Taxation targeted SMSF LRBA investment strategies in September 2019 Grant Abbott told the Class conference that this was only the start and expect it to blow out and get bigger. With the 17 February investment strategy ATO release we now find ALL SMSF investment strategies in the crosshairs – a nightmare in the making for audits of the 2019 income year. There is now the threat of an administration penalty of $4,200 per trustee. And what happens to those SMSFs that have already been lodged which don’t measure up to the new requirements? Well they will need to be rectified or the old fingers crossed and hope the Commissioner does not random sample an auditor’s funds? Anyway, which way, the landscape has changed and we all need to move with the tide and comply. There can be no laggards.

In this presentation we will take a deep dive into the Commissioner’s latest release, what it means and what you need to do to comply.

200327_Remote - Abbott, Grant

Speaker: Adrian Reid

Topic: Uses and Abuses of Optimization - The Most Powerful Tool That Most Traders Use Incorrectly

Optimization one of the most misunderstood and abused tools in your trading toolkit.

The trouble is that the industry, literature and software are all set up to encourage poor optimization technique resulting in problems like:

1. Systems that look great in backtesting but fail in real time trading
2. Deeper than expected drawdowns
3. Lower than expected profits (or even losses)
4. The need for frequent reoptimization

BUT when you avoid the pitfalls of optimization you can instead create stable and robust trading systems that maintain profitability long into the future.

In this presentation Adrian will discuss the most critical optimization pitfalls which lead to trading disasters AND give you the understanding you need to instead create robust, stable and profitable trading systems.

200228_Remote - Reid, Adrian

Speaker: Darryl Nagel

Topic: How to Trade the Markets in Multiple Time Frames Using Ichimoku

Darryl Nagel will examine the markets demonstrating a trading plan using Ichimoku. This plan has a relatively high probability of success, subject to your individual trading approach.

He will use charts with live data provided by FINLOGIX, which is a free platform. Prior to the presentation you may go to www.finlogix.com to familiarise yourself with the charts prior to Darryl’s presentation. FINLOGIX has some excellent tools which make ICHIMOKU much easier to understand and to trade.

Darryl will examine the charts using an Ichimoku trading plan for the following markets and more:

• Major FOREX pairs
• Gold
• Silver
• Dow Jones
• S&P 500
• ASX 200

200130_Remote - Nagel, Darryl

Speaker: Robert Brain

Topic: Dividend Harvesting

Another dividend season is coming up quickly — from about February to April. Do you have idle money and are you looking for income from the market? Are you interested in investing for dividends? Isn’t it easy? Isn’t it straight forward? Are there any catches? Isn't it easy to find a useful list of good dividend payers?, and then to buy-and-hold the stock for years? And to easily find the ex-dividend dates? And to simply follow the published dividend strategies? Isn’t this easy?

You might be very surprised at the real answers to these questions. In this session we:

• Share some observations about dividends and share price performance — these might surprise you!
• Explain some of the key details about dividends
• Show some example share price charts and the impact of dividends
• Refute the claims about simple dividend strategies
• Explain how to find relevant details about dividends.

200120_Quant SIG - Brain, Robert

Speaker: Mark Bennell

Topic: Trading As A Business

The Melbourne Quantitative Traders are a "Special Interest Group" (SIG) formed from the Melbourne Chapter of the ATAA. The objective of the group is to explore "Quantitative Methods" in Technical Analysis. These methods include advanced mathematics, statistics, computer programming and Machine Learning.

200120_Quant SIG - Bennell, Mark

Speaker: Chris Shea

Topic: Ramifications of a Probability-based Trading approach

Do the two quiz's before watching the video of this presentation.

In this interactive session Chris will outline the technical analysis implications for probability-based trading:

• How does technical analysis assist with a trader’s decisions of when to buy, sell, hold, add and take profits?;
• The strengths and limitations of technical analysis;
• The interactive component will look at a probability experiment including an analysis of 50 trades in a ‘game’ format.

In addition, Chris will review some of the conscious and more importantly sub-conscious factors that can spoil or enhance effective technical decisions and good trading profits.

200118_Brisbane - Shea, Chris